Spherical 15

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The run dwelling to the AFL finals is properly and actually upon us, with simply 9 video games remaining for every membership for earlier than candy September motion.

The nine-match spherical returns with a bang this week, with a Friday night time blockbuster between Geelong and Adelaide the decide of the bunch.

Even when Spherical 15 seems to be fairly straight ahead, there are simply sufficient difficult matches to maintain issues fascinating.

We’re paying out early on the Crowd taking dwelling this 12 months’s general title, with a 5 final week sufficient to place them six factors away from first-placed knowledgeable AdelaideDocker.

There was little motion among the many consultants that spherical, with AD remaining three factors forward of myself for the knowledgeable lead – though Daniel Jeffrey has fallen two factors behind Marnie Cohen on the desk’s rear.

It’d take one thing particular for issues to alter during the last 9 rounds, however stranger issues have occurred. A minimum of I’m one level behind first place in The Roar’s Cricket World Cup tipping…

Stirling Coates
GWS, Geelong, West Coast, Sydney, Collingwood, Port Adelaide, Richmond, Brisbane, Fremantle

We’re coming into now-or-never territory for Essendon as they attempt to keep away from a second straight non-appearance within the finals, however the activity definitely isn’t simple in opposition to the high-flying Giants.

GWS’ poor document on the MCG is usually mentioned, however their sturdy document at Docklands flies beneath the radar. The Giants have six wins and one draw from their final 9 video games on the venue, and will construct on that strong run tonight.

Friday night time is the place we get our meat and potatoes within the type of a top-eight blockbuster between Geelong and Adelaide. The Crows are in a wealthy vein of type and are greater than able to taking it to the ladder-leading Cats, however they’ll have crack one hell of a hoodoo to take action.

Most groups have horror information at Kardinia Park over current seasons, however Adelaide’s is one thing else. They’ve received three of their 20 visits to the Cattery, with the final of these coming again in June 2003. The Cats are enjoying too properly to see that streak damaged now, with final week’s slip-up most likely making the duty tougher for the guests.

Venue hoodoos are a scorching matter on Saturday as properly, with Hawthorn followers joyful to level out they’ve received six of their seven all-time conferences with West Coast on the MCG. Sadly, they’re simply too far off form for that to be remotely related. This is a crucial alternative for the Eagles to submit an enormous win and I feel they’ll take it.

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The Buddy-less Sydney Swans ought to equally show far too sturdy for the struggling Gold Coast Suns, regardless of (and due to) the surprising upset loss they suffered final 12 months. The Swans even have an extremely mushy draw within the run dwelling, absolutely we’re not about to witness a repeat of 2017?

Luke Parker

Luke Parker and the Swans are wanting first rate. (Photograph by Cameron Spencer/AFL Photographs/Getty Photographs)

Saturday night time’s matches look comparatively simple too. Collingwood ought to lengthen their very good current document over North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium, whereas the Western Bulldogs simply play manner too poorly on the Adelaide Oval to be severely thought of an upset probability in opposition to Port Adelaide.

In reality, Sunday’s slate of matches seems to be pretty lower and dry too. My intestine is telling me St Kilda are an upset probability over Richmond beneath the roof, however one have a look at the seemingly Tiger inclusions – Trent Cotchin, Shane Edwards, David Astbury and Kane Lambert – means I’m telling my intestine to close it.

Melbourne’s win final week would have Brisbane followers – who received’t actually imagine their facet can play finals till they’re watching it with their very own eyes – nervous, however the Lions have seemed lethal at The Gabba nearly all season and will show too sturdy.

Fremantle let me down within the Shoe-In of the Week final spherical (ruining a run of six straight picks), however they get the nod once more in opposition to Carlton in Perth.

Marnie Cohen
GWS, Geelong, West Coast, Sydney, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, Brisbane, Fremantle

I’m suspicious about how straight ahead this week seems to be on paper – hope it doesn’t come again to chew me!

Completely wanting ahead to Friday night time between Geelong and the Crows. I think will probably be sport of the spherical. Regardless of a loss final week, Geelong continues to be the very best staff within the competitors and the Crows are lastly hitting their straps, taking a few sturdy wins into the bye.

Adelaide completely have what it takes to carry dwelling the 4 factors, however I simply can’t see the Cats dropping a second sport in a row – particularly again at dwelling.

This week can also be the beginning of Richmond’s surge in the direction of September. The Tigers at the moment discover themselves in ninth with a share of 92.zero – the sixth-worst within the competitors and 14 per cent behind the worst of the highest eight (West Coast’s 106.2).

Fortunately for Richmond, they wish to welcome again a variety of key gamers, together with captain Trent Cotchin and solely depart Melbourne as soon as within the run dwelling. They need to get the 4 factors in opposition to St Kilda and begin their battle for finals on a profitable foot.

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Essendon and the Giants must be an fascinating fixture, with one large issue favouring the Bombers. The Giants have a horrible post-bye document (2-5) and are coming off a visit to Tassie and the break this week.

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Not favouring the Bombers is their insipid efficiency final time these two groups met, which noticed them open their 2019 season on the receiving finish of a 12-goal thrashing. I don’t assume this week will observe that very same script, however I’m tipping the Giants to win.

North Melbourne is my solely actual left discipline tip this weekend. Very a lot tipping with my coronary heart, however the Pies may be challenged and at Marvel, I feel the Roos ought to get the job accomplished.

Fairly straight ahead stuff from there on. Brisbane, Port Adelaide, Sydney and Freo must be too sturdy at dwelling, whereas West Coast will merely show too sturdy.

Daniel Jeffrey
GWS, Geelong, West Coast, Sydney, Collingwood, Port Adelaide, Richmond, Brisbane, Fremantle

It considerations me that this week seems to be so simple. GWS have already towelled up the Bombers as soon as this season, and also you’d think about they’ll repeat the trick tonight.

Adelaide are one of many few groups who appear to be they might spring an upset this week however, with Geelong at dwelling and trying to bounce again from final weekend’s shock loss, you may’t go previous the Cats on this one.

Hawthorn are wanting totally uninspiring proper now. They’ve little probability of beating the Eagles, whereas Gold Coast taking something out of their journey to Sydney is even much less seemingly – even when the Suns received their final match on the SCG. The Swans are enjoying properly and will notch a robust win regardless of Lance Franklin’s absence.

Collingwood have an excessive amount of class within the center for the Kangaroos to deal with, and Port will fancy their probabilities in opposition to the Canines after final week’s upset win over the Cats. The Energy are able to producing a shocker, however they’re looming as a facet who may spring a shock or two come finals time.

The ‘put in a superb efficiency for our soon-to-be sacked coach’ issue may play into St Kilda’s fingers in opposition to the Tigers, however the Saints’ type is simply so mediocre that one has to tip Richmond.

Tom Lynch

Richmond ought to return to their profitable methods in opposition to the Saints. (Photograph by Dylan Burns/AFL Photographs/Getty Photographs)

The opposite two Sunday video games would seem foregone conclusions: Brisbane to maintain up their sturdy season on the Gabba in opposition to Melbourne, and Fremantle to chalk up a straightforward win in opposition to the Blues out west.

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AdelaideDocker
GWS, Geelong, West Coast, Sydney, Collingwood, Port Adelaide, Richmond, Brisbane, Fremantle

Essendon have been diabolically unhealthy final week – saved from higher ignominy solely by an inaccurate opposition. They’ll really feel extra snug at dwelling, however GWS are an excellent facet, they usually’re contemporary off a bye and a win – I’m going with the protected tip of the Giants.

Geelong and Adelaide play on Friday night time within the Cats’ second consecutive conflict in opposition to a South Australian facet. Their first, in opposition to Port, didn’t go so properly – however that was to be anticipated given their horrible document after the bye.

The issue for the Crows, although, is that Geelong have a implausible round-after-the-round-after-the-bye document. They’re at dwelling and nonetheless an outstanding facet, so I’ll be backing them to cease any ideas of an upset right here.

Saturday’s chock-a-block stuffed with clashes. Hawks and Eagles our early conflict, and this one is just not too exhausting a tip: I’ll go the Eagles. They’re merely the higher facet, and Hawthorn have seemed decisively mediocre coming off three losses.

Sydney host Gold Coast within the twilight conflict and, whereas this actual fixture ended up being upset of the 12 months final 12 months, I’m not sure it’ll occur once more.

Collingwood host North and Port host the Bulldogs in Saturday night time clashes. The previous is a troublesome conflict to select; Collingwood have been profitable with out wanting good of late, whereas North are somewhat up and down themselves. I do see upset issue right here, however my ideas don’t want randomness, and I’ll go the Pies.

Collingwood Magpies players sing the team song after a victory

Collingwood are sturdy favourites to topple North. (AAP Picture/Julian Smith)

The latter is straightforward: if Port sustain final week’s type, they win comfortably. Anticipate them to win both manner, comfortably or not.

Sunday is filled with intriguing matches (which might be kinda simple to select). I think Richmond, regardless of their up and down 12 months, usually tend to win this, so I’ll reluctantly tip ‘em.

Brisbane host Melbourne up on the Gabba; each are coming off good wins, however just one is within the field seat for finals. The Lions ought to win this one comfortably. Freo host Carlton over in WA within the spherical’s closing conflict, and regardless of some severe harm considerations (no Jesse Hogan!), the Dockers are nonetheless favourites.

I’ll tip the hosts – reluctantly.

Spherical 15 Stirling Marnie Daniel ADocker The Crowd
ESS vs GWS GWS GWS GWS GWS ?
GEE vs ADE GEE GEE GEE GEE ?
HAW vs WCE WCE WCE WCE WCE ?
SYD vs GCS SYD SYD SYD SYD ?
COL vs NM COL NM COL COL ?
PA vs WB PA PA PA PA ?
STK vs RCH RCH RCH RCH RCH ?
BL vs MEL BL BL BL BL ?
FRE vs CAR FRE FRE FRE FRE ?
Final week four four three four 5
Complete rating 72 69 67 75 81

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