The Mounting Yard: Australian Guineas Day preview

Melbourne’s Saturday metro assembly is at headquarters this week, in fact referred to as Flemington, for Australian Guineas day. The Guineas itself could be probably the greatest editions we've got ever seen, with horses like Ringerdingding, Mystic Journey, Hawkshot and Amphitrite all going round. There’s three group races on the cardboard to accompany the characteristic, and three races at listed degree. The bureau predicts a scorching summer season’s day in Melbourne, with a high of 37 levels predicted. Fortunately there’s a lot of shade at Flemington, so there’s no excuse to not head all the way down to the monitor for an excellent day’s racing! Race 1 The primary on this system is the Competition of Racing 1000 at listed degree, over 1000 meters down the Flemington straight. There’s a couple of first starters which all the time makes issues troublesome, however I feel Cheer Chief represents excellent every method worth right here. She hit the road effectively in a trial at Geelong, being laborious held to the road, after which narrowly missed towards a really good one in Truth or Fable at Bendigo on debut. She additionally beat Flit residence who I’ve had a nibble at within the Inglis Sires in simply over a months’ time, so I feel that’ll be a fairly scorching maiden, and the Peter and Paul Snowden yard needs to be revered in these two yr previous races. Ought to go shut. Isa Rocket is a menace on the $13 quote presently. She beat Truth or Fable and Charvet in a trial at Cranbourne a couple of weeks again, after which ran very greenly on the Valley to complete 4 lengths off Andrassy Avenue who some have been spruiking within the Blue Diamond final week. She’s acquired loads of scope for enchancment, and I feel she’s over the percentages right here. Lanigera needs to be revered. He ran effectively over this distance two begins in the past at Caulfield when he completed a size and a half behind Loving Gaby and Bella Rosa, after which failed at Flemington over 1100 down the straight. I couldn’t take him on the $four quote, however he’ll get a very good run from the within gate. Really useful wager: Every method wager on #7 Cheer Chief. Race 2 The Roy Higgins High quality is the following on this system is the following on this system, at listed degree over 2600 metres. It looks as if a race in two right here, however the sample of the race will swimsuit the brief worth favorite in Schabau, and it’s laborious to see him getting overwhelmed right here. He’s been wonderful since coming over from Germany, beating the in-form Prince Ziggy in his Australian debut, after which holding out Appears to be like Like Elvis final begin. He shouldn’t have any drawback with the journey at present contemplating the homeowners introduced him to have a crack on the huge Cups within the spring, and from barrier three he maps fantastically to take a seat on the pace in a race with none in it. He’ll be laborious to beat getting out in distance. Shock Child is the large menace. He received impressively over a mile on the Valley two begins again, after travelling three extensive with no cowl, after which did rather a lot incorrect final begin in the identical race as Schabau was in, when he layed in the entire method down the straight. He nonetheless managed to complete a size and a half off them, and he'll completely relish this journey, being bred by Stunning and out of Bula Child. If the tempo does come from someplace sudden, we’ll be in for a grandstand end. Bondeiger is one for the multiples. He’s been coming residence strongly towards the likes of Tarquin and Al Galayel, and may recognize the 2600 metres. Onerous to see him successful giving the fancied runners 4 kilograms although. Really useful wager: Win wager on #5 Schabau. Flemmo – nowhere prefer it. (Picture by Michael Dodge/Getty Photos) Race three We’ve acquired one other race down the straight right here, with the ATA/Bob Hoysted handicap at listed degree over 1000 metres coming right here within the third. Fairly satisfied that She’s So Excessive will win right here. Her type traces final preparation are good for a race like this, successful down the straight right here at listed degree, after which being narrowly overwhelmed by I’ll Have a Bit and beating Nature Strip residence within the Euclase stakes in Adelaide. She’s two from two recent, unbeaten on the monitor and distance after one attempt, and she or he maps effectively to get a pleasant sit off them with cowl. Very laborious to beat. I'm Somebody appears like the one hazard. He’s type is tough to measure up contemplating he’s been operating in Benchmark 70 races, nevertheless, he’s been successful them impressively. He received by 5 lengths at Bendigo, after which streeted them over 1100 metres down the straight final begin. He’s acquired the health edge over a whole lot of these and I don’t assume they’ll go to fast in entrance which provides him an opportunity. Moon Lover is the most effective of the remainder. She received at listed degree in Geelong over 1200 metres, after which was narrowly overwhelmed down the straight behind Teleplay. She’ll race on the pace from the within gate and take luck out of the equation. Really useful wager: First rate sized win wager on #7 she’s so Excessive. Race four The bottom graded race on the cardboard comes right here within the fourth, with a Fillies and Mares Benchmark 84 handicap over 1100 metres. I don’t assume this race has any enterprise being on the sort of a card, however there’s nonetheless a winner to be discovered and I’ve seen worse $30 possibilities than All About Nicci. She carries the highest weight which isn’t perfect, however her type final preparation wasn’t too unhealthy for a race like this. She ran two lengths off Holy Blade twice, at Bendigo and Adelaide respectively, with the latter being at listed degree. She’s received two from 5 recent and I feel Sister Kitty Mac will set a very good tempo, so I’ll be specking her on the huge odds. Island Daze has come again effectively on this preparation and she or he appears to be essentially the most constant out of the fancied runners. She beat up on a small subject at Sandown resuming, however her win on the Valley over Dancing Tycoon was spectacular. If she jumps effectively and will get some cowl within the run, she’ll be laborious to carry out. Miss Toorak Flyer is the most effective of the remainder. Her win in entrance of Redcore a few months in the past is an effective type line for this race, and she or he got here residence strongly final begin over 955 metres on the Valley. The 1100 metres fits right here, and she or he’ll be coming residence strongly. Really useful wager: One thing small every method on #1 All About Nicci. Cross Counter wins the 2018 Melbourne Cup at Flemmo. (Picture: Brett Holburt/Racing Photographs through Getty Photos) Race 5 We get to an excellent Vobis handicap right here within the fifth, over 1400 metres. There shall be a whole lot of winners going ahead out of this race with some very progressive varieties on this subject, and I’ve landed on Good Selection in a really open race. His type traces from final preparation are impeccable. He ran half a size off Maid of Heaven on debut, who went on to win the Spring Champion Stakes, and he beat Adana and Nakeeta Jane in what turned out to be a extremely popular maiden. He went out for a spell and was gelded, and it labored wonders in his return on the Valley, the place he settled rather a lot higher and powered away from them late. He'll get a stunning run on the pace from barrier 5, and he’ll be laborious to carry out. The brief priced favorite in Age of Chivalry is a giant hazard. He’s made his method by way of the grades very well this preparation, breaking his maiden at Sandown after which successful simply in a Benchmark 64 over No Drama Darci. He fought as laborious as he might within the CS Hayes Stakes and narrowly went all the way down to The Inevitable after main all the best way, who's a $20 probability within the characteristic. He ought to have the pace to cross from barrier 9, however there’s a whole lot of pace on on this race which is the primary question. Is as sincere as they arrive. Profitable Companion and Write Your Identify are the 2 subsequent finest. They’ve each been unfortunate in latest campaigns after getting too far again or not getting a run within the straight, and they need to profit from the pace on up entrance. Really useful wager: Win wager on #9 Good Selection, and shall be enjoying exotics round #9, #four, #6, #10 and #eight. Race 6 The primary of the group three’s come within the sixth, with it being the Shaftesbury Avenue handicap over 1400 metres. Each horse bar two of them has claims on this race, which makes it troublesome to select a winner, however I’ve been a giant fan of Furrion since his debut at Stawell final yr. He made his method by way of the grades properly final preparation, and he beat Better of Days over 1700 metres at Caulfield, which is clearly a very good type line for this, and he was unfortunate in each the Cranbourne and Bendigo cups. He hit the road properly in his trial at Wodonga, and he’s undefeated first up, successful two from two. He has good versatility by way of the place he can run within the race, so McNiel ought to be capable to decide the place to position him, and he’ll be laborious to beat if he’s wound up for this. Streets of Avalon has been in good type this preparation, barring one unhealthy run at this monitor three begins again. He ran second to Heptagon two begins again at Caulfield, ending two lengths off him, after which he received at this monitor final begin over Widgee Turf. He acquired a charmed run in that race, however from barrier 4 he appears set to do it once more. He maps to get the run of the race, and though it is a step up in grade, he’s rock laborious match in comparison with most of those. He’ll be laborious to beat. Sticking with Rock ‘n’ Gold because the one who might put some early worth into the quaddie. He’s type line is sweet for this, operating two lengths to Manolo Blahniq within the Chester Manifold after having no luck within the run, after which successful the John Dillon Stakes after main all the best way. He needed to do an influence of labor to get throughout to the lead final begin, and nothing went proper for him within the run. There received’t be as a lot tempo on up entrance on this race, so he ought to be capable to get a pleasant sit, and produce a giant run down the straight. Really useful wager: Most likely a very good race to play exotics with #7, #12, #5, #1 and #13 all concerned. Race 7 The time honoured Blamey Stakes is the seventh on the cardboard, within the lead as much as the large one, and one in all my finest on the cardboard comes right here within the type of Materials Man. He was racing all the most effective horses in Western Australia a couple of months in the past, operating behind Arcadia Queen and Galaxy Star respectively, and he’s had no luck in any respect since coming to Melbourne. He simply hasn’t had a crack at them in both the C.F Orr or the Futurity, and has solely ran a size and a half, after which two lengths behind the winners. Barrier one isn’t perfect, however he’ll do no work within the run, and at Flemington they’ve often acquired time to get out. Very laborious to beat. Manuel is the one professional hazard. He’s been up for some time now however he’s been excellent this preparation. His win within the C.F Orr was super, beating the likes of Materials Man and Kementari, and he ran rather a lot higher than I believed he would backing up within the Futurity after doing a good bit of labor to get to the lead. From barrier seven, if he jumps effectively, he’ll most likely sit on the pace and he’s lion hearted, so he’ll be laborious to run down. Johannes Vermeer is the unknown within the race, and the Bookmakers are holding him very protected. I can’t take the present quote of $three.60 for a horse that hasn’t raced for over a yr and has by no means received recent, however he’s a Group 1 winner abroad over 1400 metres, so a giant end down the surface wouldn’t be a shock. Really useful wager: Massive win wager on #1 Materials Man, with a saver on #four Manuel. Some say they race the incorrect method at Flemington – however what if everybody else is racing the incorrect method? (Picture by Graham Denholm/Getty Photos for the VRC) Race eight We lastly get to the characteristic on the cardboard, which is the star studded Australian Guineas over the mile at set weights. It could be the most effective version we’ve ever seen, and it’s laborious to see Mystic Journey getting overwhelmed with even luck. She’s a celebrity this Tasmanian filly. She ran ridiculous sectionals on the Valley within the spring to beat Fundamentalist by two lengths, who the favorite on this race Amphitrite has struggled to beat twice, and she or he’s been incredible towards some good varieties in Tasmania this preparation. She maps to do no work from barrier one and Anthony Darmanin will most likely settle her simply off the pace. With even luck she’ll be very laborious to beat. Stars of Carrum is one that may run a giant race at odds. He was the runner up within the Victorian Derby within the spring, after beating Aramayo within the Moonee Valley Vase, and he’s resumed effectively. He was out sprinted behind Tin hat within the Manfred, however was completely trucking behind a wall of horses within the CS Hayes Stakes. Had he acquired out when he wanted to in that race I feel he would have went near successful, and due to this fact been a shorter worth right here.
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He’s drawn extensive however he was going to return anyhow, and so long as he will get cowl within the run, he’ll be flashing residence. Dealmaker is one other one at odds who's flying underneath the radar. He’s been actually good this preparation. The sondelon type from his first up run has been franked by him beating Kolding on Wednesday, and he beat Ringerdingding residence within the Autumn Stakes and was motoring residence late. He’ll get an ideal run in midfield from barrier eight, and he’ll be hitting the road laborious. Really useful wager: Win wager on #15 Mystic Journey, and the exotics pool shall be enormous, so I’ll be enjoying round #15, #11, #three, #four and #13. Race 9 The ‘fortunate final’ on this system is the Frances Tressady Stakes over 1400 metres at group three degree for the fillies and Mares. Clarice Cliffs can have the hopes of many a punter right here within the final because the final favorite of the day, however I feel she’ll be laborious to beat right here. She ran a size off Declarationofheart final preparation, who’s a $34 probability in an excellent Australian Guineas, and she or he destroyed La Tigeresa who's a $13 probability right here two begins again at Geelong. She destroyed them by six lengths at Pakenham final begin, and she or he attracts fantastically from barrier 4 to race on the pace, in a race with out a lot pace in it. She’ll be very laborious to beat. Set To Sparkle is a hazard at double determine odds. She’s been in actually good type this preparation, beating Naantali over this precise monitor and distance, after which solely taking place by a size to Heptagon and King’s Command. She attracts extensive although as a result of lack of tempo on up entrance, she ought to be capable to cross and get a stunning spot within the run. The principle hazard. (Picture by Quinn Rooney/Getty Photos) Temple of Bel is the most effective of the remainder. There’s some queries surrounding her first up file, solely registering a 3rd from 4 begins recent, however she screams out to me as a horse that may win a very good race this preparation. She ran a size behind I'm A star within the women day vase over a mile, after which was removed from disgraced operating solely two lengths off Shillelagh within the Empire Rose. From barrier twelve she’ll get again within the run, and if the swoopers are coming late she’ll be ending the most effective of them. Really useful wager: Win wager on #14 Clarice Cliffs, with a saver on #eight Set to Sparkle. BEST BET: Race 7 #1 Materials Man. SECOND BEST BET: Race three #7 She’s So Excessive. BEST VALUE: Race four #1 All About Nicci.