Recreation 2, 2019

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With 2019 State of Origin collection opener going the way in which of Queensland in a shock victory, we head in direction of Recreation 2 with a very totally different outlook on either side.

New South Wales entered Recreation 1 because the favourites, the defending champions, with an ideal squad filled with kind gamers interspersed with most of final 12 months’s series-winning outfit. Queensland entered with a squad decimated by damage, their captain and halfback enjoying his first sport in weeks after recovering from an damage, and a few media conjecture hanging over the staff.

What transpired was a gutsy and dominant 18-14 win by the Maroons, a scoreline that flattered the Blues.

This resulted in New South Wales coach Brad Fittler ringing in seven adjustments to his aspect, whereas Queensland have made simply two, each attributable to damage. Freddie’s males enter this match below a lot scrutiny and criticism and with the collection on the road.

As soon as once more, a statistical evaluation has been performed for every match-up for Recreation 2, to see if the numbers can reveal which staff’s and combos have the sting.

Key for under stats
Pl=Video games Performed, Min=Minutes, TA=Attempt Assists, MPR=Metres per run, LB=Line Breaks, TklBrk=Sort out Breaks, OL=Offloads, Tkl=Tackles made, MT=Missed Tackles, TKL%=Sort out effectiveness, Err=Errors, PC=Penalties conceded.

Fullback: Kalyn Ponga vs James Tedesco
Tedesco is clearly the extra prolific working fullback, whereas Ponga is extra of a ball participant. Tedesco dominates within the areas of runs, metres and sort out breaks, whereas additionally being forward narrowly for tries scored, metres per run and offloads.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Ponga 12 77.6 7 zero.6 9.7 103.zero 10.7 1.2 Four.2 zero.5 6.Four 1.5 77.Eight 1.1 zero.Three
Tedesco 12 80.2 Eight zero.Four 15.Four 167.zero 10.Eight 1.2 5.6 zero.9 2.7 zero.Eight 66.7 1.Three zero.zero

Wing: Corey Oates vs Josh Addo-Carr
Oates has Addo-Carr coated in almost each metric to this point this 12 months, besides one: uncooked pace. Oates averages two runs and 26 metres per sport greater than Addo-Carr, whereas being marginally forward in metres per run, line breaks, sort out breaks and tackles made.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Oates 12 80.zero 10 zero.zero 13.7 149.5 10.9 1.1 Three.7 zero.2 Four.1 zero.9 80.Three 1.Eight zero.1
Addo-Carr 12 79.Eight 10 zero.zero 11.7 123.2 10.6 zero.Eight Three.Three zero.Four Three.Eight zero.Four 80.7 1.zero zero.Three
Corey Oates

(Photograph by Chris Hyde/Getty Photographs)

Centre: Michael Morgan vs Jack Wighton
That is primarily the battle between a ball-running five-eighth and a ball-playing five-eighth, regardless of the very fact they’re each enjoying at centre. Wighton’s type is healthier suited to this position, nevertheless Morgan proved he was succesful sufficient on the job in Recreation 1, regardless of being outplayed by Josh Morris.

Wighton trumps Morgan on the subject of tries scored, runs, metres, metres per run, sort out breaks, all facets of defence and likewise has fewer errors.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Morgan 13 80.Three 2 1.Three 6.Four 45.7 7.2 zero.2 1.6 zero.Eight 13.5 Three.2 76.Eight 2.2 zero.6
Wighton 13 80.zero 5 zero.2 Eight.2 81.5 10.zero zero.2 2.7 zero.Three 17.2 1.9 84.Eight 1.Eight zero.Eight
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Centre: Will Chambers vs Tom Trbojevic
Chambers has performed extra video games at centre within the final two months than Tom Trbojevic has performed in his five-year profession. Trbojevic is a fullback who can fill a spot on the wing, coming into this match with simply 4 video games below his belt in 2019.

Regardless of that, Trbojevic has as many tries as Chambers (4 apiece), extra attempt assists, runs, metres, metres per run, line breaks, sort out breaks and offloads per sport. Nonetheless, these had been all from his video games at fullback.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Chambers 13 79.Three Four zero.2 9.zero 74.9 Eight.Three zero.2 1.1 zero.5 9.Eight 1.1 81.9 1.2 zero.2
T.Trbojevic Four 70.5 Four 1.Three 14.Eight 164.zero 11.1 2.zero 6.5 2.zero Three.5 zero.Eight 70.zero 1.5 zero.Three
Tom Trbojevic

(Photograph by Robert Prezioso/Getty Photographs)

Wing: Dane Gagai vs Blake Ferguson
Gagai loves enjoying at Origin degree and can little doubt be at his very best right here. Ferguson has the peak and leap benefit, so he’ll possible be a goal for the Blues to kick in direction of. Ferguson’s ball-running and metre-making skill are superior to Gagai’s.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Gagai 13 80.Four 2 zero.1 13.1 117.Four 9.zero zero.2 Three.Eight zero.2 12.Four 2.1 79.7 zero.9 zero.Three
Ferguson 13 77.Four 5 zero.Three 17.1 160.7 9.Four zero.6 2.Four zero.9 Four.zero 1.Three 68.Four 1.Eight zero.2

5-eighth: Cameron Munster vs James Maloney
Two of the sport’s elite quantity sixes will sq. off in Origin 2 after Maloney was introduced in to exchange Cody Walker, who had a sport to neglect within the collection opener. Munster has produced extra attempt assists, runs, metres, line breaks, sort out breaks and offloads than Maloney, whereas additionally being higher in defence and self-discipline.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Munster 13 79.Eight 5 1.zero Eight.zero 64.2 Eight.zero zero.Four 2.5 zero.5 21.2 1.Eight 89.Three zero.Eight zero.5
Maloney 13 80.Four 2 zero.7 5.5 45.5 Eight.Three zero.2 1.2 zero.Three 15.7 Three.9 76.7 zero.9 1.5
Cameron Munster

(Photograph by Michael Dodge/Getty Photographs)

Halfback: Daly Cherry-Evans (c) vs Nathan Cleary
Regardless of enjoying 4 fewer NRL video games, Cherry-Evans has produced extra attempt assists and line breaks than Cleary. The younger Blues half doesn’t have as many errors in his sport whereas being DCE’s match defensively.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Cherry-Evans 9 75.9 Three zero.Eight Four.Eight 48.Three 10.1 zero.6 1.Four 1.1 17.2 1.Eight 85.6 1.9 zero.Four
Cleary 13 79.5 Three zero.Four 6.Eight 52.Three 7.7 zero.2 1.5 1.Three 15.Four 1.Eight 85.5 1.zero zero.2

Prop: Dylan Napa vs Paul Vaughan
Vaughan is an actual workman within the center, outperforming Napa in runs, metres, sort out breaks, offloads and tackles per sport. He additionally performs, on common, 9 minutes extra per sport than Napa, which might be of giant profit to the Blues, given their lighter bench for Origin 2.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Napa 10 44.Three 2 zero.2 11.7 102.Three Eight.7 zero.1 1.zero zero.Three 19.9 2.9 84.zero zero.Three zero.Four
Vaughan 13 53.6 zero zero.1 15.Three 137.9 9.zero zero.1 1.2 zero.Eight 29.5 1.Three 91.2 zero.1 zero.5
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Hooker: Ben Hunt vs Damian Cook dinner
Maroons hooker Ben Hunt is historically a halfback however proved he was nicely and actually as much as the duty at this degree in Recreation 1. He’ll be up in opposition to the present Take a look at rake Damian Cook dinner, who’s averaging extra attempt assists, metres per sport and per run and line breaks per match than Hunt, whereas additionally being a lot stronger in defence and extra disciplined.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Hunt 13 79.Three 5 zero.Eight Four.Eight 39.1 Eight.2 zero.Three 1.9 1.5 20.Eight Three.Eight 81.Three 1.7 zero.5
Cook dinner 13 79.Four 2 1.Three Four.5 42.1 9.Three zero.Four 1.6 zero.Eight 37.5 1.Three 93.zero zero.9 zero.Three
Damien Cooks fends off Ben Hunt

(Photograph by Quinn Rooney/Getty Photographs)

Prop: Josh Papalii vs Daniel Saifiti
That is probably the most lopsided contest within the match. Josh Papalii outperforms Saifiti in each statistical subject, and in some situations, by an enormous margin. He averages virtually 50 metres extra, takes 5 further runs and performs 11 extra minutes per sport than the Blues debutant.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Papalii 13 54.5 1 zero.1 14.6 134.6 9.2 zero.2 1.2 zero.Eight 23.Four zero.7 94.1 zero.1 zero.Four
Saifiti 11 43.Four zero zero.1 9.6 86.5 9.zero zero.zero zero.7 zero.1 22.1 1.Eight 90.Three zero.Three zero.Four

Second row: Felise Kaufusi vs Tyson Frizell
Kaufusi has actually improved his endurance and is now an everyday 80-minute participant. The variations in statistics between these two gamers is so slim, making for a mouth-watering conflict between two huge males who prefer to wreak havoc on the perimeters.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Kaufusi 13 78.Eight 1 zero.1 10.1 89.Eight Eight.9 zero.zero zero.5 zero.Four 29.5 1.2 92.Three zero.6 zero.Eight
Frizell 11 54.Eight 1 zero.1 9.9 87.5 Eight.Eight zero.1 zero.5 zero.6 25.2 1.Four 89.1 zero.5 zero.2

Second row: Matt Gillett vs Boyd Cordner (c)
The Blues captain has been in nice contact this 12 months and that’s seen in his dominance over Gillett, notably with runs (4 extra per sport), metres gained (virtually 50 extra per sport) and sort out breaks (simply over one further per sport).

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Gillett 12 65.Eight Four zero.zero Eight.Three 63.5 7.7 zero.1 zero.Eight zero.Four 31.9 1.6 90.Three zero.5 zero.Three
Cordner 12 73.zero Four zero.1 12.Three 113.zero 9.2 zero.2 1.9 zero.6 23.Three 2.1 86.Four zero.6 zero.Three
Boyd Cordner for the NSW Blues

(Photograph by Mark Kolbe/Getty Photographs)

Lock: Josh McGuire vs Jake Trbojevic
McGuire has been posting huge numbers all 12 months in assault, averaging 137.5 metres per sport, 27 greater than Trbojevic – not that the Manly lock is a slouch. ‘Moose’ can also be averaging 1.5 sort out breaks per sport, which is 1.Three greater than his Blues opponent. On the flip aspect, Trbojevic is significantly simpler in defence – simply take a look at the sort out numbers.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
McGuire 11 62.6 zero zero.zero 16.Three 137.5 Eight.5 zero.zero 1.5 zero.Eight 26.Three 1.5 89.2 zero.5 zero.5
J.Trbojevic 13 79.2 1 zero.2 13.zero 110.5 Eight.5 zero.zero zero.2 zero.Three 40.5 1.1 93.Eight zero.5 zero.Eight

Bench: Moses Mbye vs Wade Graham
Mbye might be enjoying as a real backline utility, able to enjoying at fullback and within the halves, whereas Graham is again within the Blues aspect simply two video games after his return from a nine-month damage absence. His return has been phenomenal for Cronulla, therefore him being rushed into the Blues aspect. He’ll be a weapon on the left edge and able to enjoying as a centre, five-eighth or in his most popular again row spot.

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Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Mbye 11 80.9 1 zero.Three 12.6 101.zero Eight.zero zero.2 2.9 zero.5 10.5 1.1 87.1 1.1 zero.Four
Graham 2 43.zero zero zero.5 Eight.5 84.5 9.9 1.zero 2.zero zero.5 14.zero 2.5 82.Three zero.5 1.zero

Bench: Jarrod Wallace vs Tariq Sims
Each gamers have been referred to as in to exchange injured gamers. Wallace is a entrance rower who can cowl lock, whereas Sims is extra of a conventional edge ahead, however one not afraid to get within the center and rip in.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Wallace 12 51.zero 1 zero.1 15.Three 141.Three 9.2 zero.2 1.5 1.5 24.5 1.5 91.Three zero.Eight zero.7
Sims 13 79.1 1 zero.zero 12.7 106.7 Eight.Four zero.Four 1.Eight zero.5 27.2 2.5 88.9 1.zero zero.7

Bench: Tim Glasby vs Dale Finucane
Two extra bench gamers introduced in for this second match. Each play at lock for his or her golf equipment, are strong toilers, defensively sensible and can possible be enjoying as a part of the entrance row rotation. Finucane performs extra minutes, makes extra metres per sport and per run.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Glasby 13 45.2 2 zero.zero 9.Three 71.6 7.7 zero.1 zero.5 zero.5 25.7 zero.7 95.2 zero.Three zero.Four
Finucane 13 57.2 1 zero.zero 12.Three 111.Eight 9.1 zero.2 1.5 zero.5 29.Eight 1.zero 93.5 zero.Four zero.6
Dale Finucane Melbourne Storm NRL Rugby League Grand Final 2017

(Photograph by Mark Kolbe/Getty Photographs)

Bench: David Fifita vs Cameron Murray
The 2 debutants from Origin Recreation 1 have retained their locations on the bench. Murray’s statistics present his dominance over Fifita, which the Blues hope might be replicated on the sector tomorrow evening.

Pl Min Tries TA Runs Metres MPR LB TklBrk OL Tkl MT Tkl% Err PC
Fifita 13 41.2 2 zero.1 Eight.5 76.1 Eight.9 zero.2 1.2 zero.5 18.2 zero.Eight 91.9 zero.1 zero.2
Murray 13 59.5 6 zero.1 10.Eight 96.5 9.zero zero.Four 1.Eight 1.Three 32.Eight 1.zero 93.2 zero.6 zero.Eight

Within the head-to-head rankings (stats fields received), that is how the 2 groups measure up:

Fullback: NSW 11-6
Winger: QLD 11-7
Centre: NSW 10-7
Centre: NSW 9-7
Winger: NSW 10-6
5-eighth: QLD 13-Three
Halfback: NSW 9-Eight
Prop: NSW 12-Four
Hooker: NSW 11-5
Prop: QLD 15-2
Second row: QLD 11-7
Second Row: NSW 11-7
Lock: NSW 10-Eight
Bench 1: QLD 10-6
Bench 2: QLD 10-7
Bench Three: NSW 11-7
Bench Four: NSW 13-Four
Complete: NSW 159-129

Felise Kaufusi for the Maroons

(AAP Picture/Dan Peled)

Backs (Together with Bench 1): NSW 53-47
Halves: QLD 21-12
Forwards (Together with Bench 2, Three and Four): NSW 84-71
Backbone (fullback, five-eighth, halfback, hooker): NSW 34-32

The entire stats fields have narrowed considerably, particularly within the halves and on the bench. New South Wales have fielded a extra cell aspect with arguably better strike energy out vast, whereas Queensland look to have a slight upper-hand within the center.

The numbers counsel New South Wales ought to win, nevertheless they convincingly mentioned the identical factor for Recreation 1. With the numbers even nearer right here, Queensland’s probabilities of successful might be increased as nicely.


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