Welcome again for week 16 of the NFL Joes vs. Professionals breakdown. If you’re inquisitive about who the “sharp” cash is on, or if video games have reverse line motion, that is the place to be. This shouldn’t be the tip all be all in your wagers, however simply one other software to think about while you’re placing your card collectively. Sports activities Insights is the place I get my percentages from.
Earlier than we leap into it, some basic betting phrases to know:
Joes: Who most people is overwhelming betting on. Round 60% or greater is an effective baseline.
Professionals: Sharps, Wiseguys, Syndicates, large bettors, no matter you need to name them. Principally, who the massive cash is on within the recreation.
Reverse Line Motion (RLM): When nearly all of bets are on one aspect, however the line strikes in the wrong way. Often an indicator of “sensible” cash.
When you tailed the sharps final week, you’ll’ve gone 1-Zero (16-7 YTD), because the Niners beat the Seahawks straight up. At this time, one recreation match each the Joes vs. Professionals discrepancy and reverse line motion. When you’ve got learn this column earlier than, often the system factors to taking canine. At this time it’s fading the canine, and going with a favourite:
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (-10)
55% of the general public is on the Bengals, even with all of their accidents. Possibly they assume the quantity is simply too excessive, or simply that the Browns gained’t be motivated since they’re formally eradicated from the playoffs. Nonetheless, the “Professional” cash has are available on Browns (59%), driving this line approach up from -7 to -10. This means enormous reverse line motion on Cleveland. To be truthful, a few of that transfer is damage associated, however it’s nonetheless a giant leap within the line and matches what we search for.