Group 1 preview and suggestions

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The Australian Guineas is the Group 1 characteristic at Flemington this Saturday, because the headquarters of Australian racing kicks off their three-week autumn carnival.

Whereas typically seen because the poor relation of Group 1 1600m Guineas in Australia in comparison with the Caulfield and Randwick Guineas, the latest listing of winners suggests it must be taken very critically as a pointer to future success, with three of the final 4 going onto Group 1 success as four-year-olds.

Final 12 months’s winner Grunt gained the Makybe Diva Stakes this season, the identical race Palentino gained after he claimed the 2016 Australian Guineas. Hey Doc gained the Manikato Stakes at 4 after profitable the 2017 Guineas. And naturally Shamus Award gained the 2014 Australian Guineas after taking out the 2013 Cox Plate.

Fillies don’t have a foul file within the race both, there are often a pair operating with Mosheen and Shamrocker on the latest winners’ listing.

There are three fillies in on Saturday and so they have drawn the eye of the market, all being within the prime 5 in betting.

Amphitrite was a profitable machine for Darren Weir, posting 4 wins on finish within the spring to go from maiden class to being victorious within the Thousand Guineas. An unfortunate run within the Emprie Rose adopted earlier than she didn’t keep in any respect within the Oaks.

Amphitrite put all that, and a change of stables to hitch the Hayes camp, behind her with a first-up win within the Vainness two weeks in the past, to indicate that she can be a power to be reckoned with once more.

Verry Elleegant was second to Amphitrite within the Vainness and in addition runs right here. Her run was each bit nearly as good because the winner, operating related splits within the straight and faster sectionals house; her final 200m was her greatest, suggesting she is going to relish the step as much as 1600m maybe greater than her rival.

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Her odds being no less than twice that of Amphitrite provides one pause for thought, however drawn an inside gate is probably not the perfect end result for her racing type and manners.

Mystic Journey is the opposite filly within the race, second favorite and with good cause. She’s gained six races in Tasmania, however we keep in mind again to her dominant win at Caulfield in September which put her on the map.

It’s value noting that Mystic Journey whipped Fundamentalist soundly at Moonee Valley on Cox Plate day, and both facet of that run Mystic Journey was Group 1 positioned within the Thousand Guineas and Empire Rose Stakes. Fundamentalist was additionally on the heels of Amphitrite and Verry Elleegant two weeks in the past, ending third within the Vainness.

It’s straightforward to make the case that she’s the perfect filly within the race, and maybe the perfect horse.

Seabrook runs and runs

(AAP Picture/Rafal Kontrym)

Onto the boys, and the CS Hayes is the standard Australian Guineas lead-up for the colts and geldings, however it does look like second and even third tier type this time round.

The Inevitable, one other Tassie horse, gained the CS Hayes, and is the one horse out of the race you’d need to observe heading into this task. He didn’t have issues his personal means, three broad in transit and pushed broad on the bend, however nonetheless reeled off the quickest final 400m of the race.

The Inevitable confirmed toughness to win a grind to the road with Age of Chivalry, who isn’t contesting the Australian Guineas. There have been two lengths again to the chasing pack, which included O’Tauto, Ranier, Scottish Rogue, Chapada, Adana and Performer.

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Additionally again within the ruck behind The Inevitable had been Further Brut and Stars of Carrum, the 2 colts than ran the quinella within the VRC Derby. We’ve got seen their high quality on show, and we all know Further Brut specifically loves Flemington, so they can enhance sufficient to look a spot hope right here, and even win if issues go their means.

The Autumn Stakes seems to be the shape reference on the boys’ facet of the equation, and the trifecta from that race are fronting up.

Hawkshot, one other ex-Weir runner now with Hayes, led the Autumn Stakes discipline a merry dance alongside in entrance and admittedly bolted away with the race. Caulfield may be flattering in that respect, so the trick is understanding how that form of efficiency will translate to the next high quality discipline that’s twice the dimensions in a race being run at Flemington.

Dealmaker ran house within the quickest sectionals of the race for second. He has overwhelmed The Autumn Solar house within the Stan Fox again in early September, however we noticed in races just like the Spring Champion and the Vase later that marketing campaign, that he wasn’t actually a top-liner. Maybe he didn’t fairly get 2000m although, and is extra a 1400m-1600m horse.

Ringerdingding was third within the Autumn Stakes, subsequently operating effectively behind Alizee within the Futurity Stakes, ending proper alongside horses like Le Romain and Courageous Smash. And there’s no doubt he’s a greater horse at Flemington, so will relish getting again there after two runs at Caulfield.

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Lengthy Leaf is the attention-grabbing runner, having carried out a profitable hit-and-run mission over in New Zealand. He was strong behind Ringerdingding within the Sandown Guineas once they final clashed, and may’t be discounted as a spot hope.

There is no such thing as a horse within the race you’d name an out-and-out chief, regardless that a few of them have completed it at varied levels. Mystic Journey has drawn the within, which ought to allow her to take a seat within the second or third pair and monitor what the front-runners do.

Choices
1. Mystic Journey

2. Amphitrite

three. Ringerdingding

four. The Inevitable

The Blamey Stakes is the primary help race on the Australian Guineas card, with most consideration being drawn to the return of Johannes Vermeer, who positioned in each the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups final time we noticed him. He resumes as a well-backed favorite, and it will likely be good to see his class on show.

Orr Stakes winner Manuel can also be among the many runners, as is 2017 Caulfield Guineas winner Mighty Boss, who in truth hasn’t fired a shot since. Good previous Tom Melbourne steps again just a few ranges after taking over Winx and Joyful Clapper, however lastly scored a win two begins again, so shouldn’t be forgotten.

Group 1 racing in two states is at all times thrilling, as each Melbourne and Sydney carnivals hit full stride. Winx deserves all the eye up at Randwick, however there’s lots to look ahead to at Flemington too.


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